US elections: Biden closer to a win

ByLuis Meiners

On Wednesday afternoon 4 November the Democratic Party's presidential candidate spoke in a more triumphant tone, expressing his confidence that he will be the winner once all the votes are counted. Although the end result is still uncertain, the scales seem to tip for Biden. Congress would remain divided with a Democratic majority in the House of Representatives and a Republican in the Senate..

current numbers

Voter turnout has been the highest in recent years. 100 years, although almost a third of the electorate did not vote. Biden has gotten more than 70 million votes, and surpasses Trump by about 3 million votes. The results that were closing during the day confirmed Biden's victory in Wisconsin, Michigan y Arizona, states that Trump had won in 2016.

The states of Nevada remain to be defined, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia. If Biden wins first, where you have a slight advantage, would reach the 270 votes needed to win the election in the Electoral College. In this way it would not depend on any of the other three states, where Trump has an advantage so far. It would avoid having to define the race in Pennsylvania, state on which hundreds of lawyers have already descended and in which the dispute may end up being resolved in the courts. Nevada is expected to announce the results on Thursday morning..

Perspective

Depending on how these results are given, the contest could be resolved in the coming days, or stretch and turn towards a judicial resolution. Trump actively seeks this last alternative, which clearly has to be rejected. Throughout the day he was lashing out from twitter and has made moves towards a legal battle. But your chances seem to be shrinking. Even some Republican leaders have come out to stand out.

The possibility of a Biden win coupled with a Republican victory in the Senate was welcomed by the markets., that registered increases after some volatility. This is no accident. Already during the campaign, the Democratic candidate had garnered support from Wall Street and the military apparatus.. It is that today it represents a bet that gives more certainty to the ruling class, in a context marked by growing global instability accelerated by the pandemic. In a world in crisis, Biden promises to restore the legitimacy of the imperialist state, both internally and internationally. And his record as a champion of neoliberalism during his nearly four decades as a senator and then vice president provide that reassurance..

This task will not be easy. The election confirmed the enormous social polarization that exists in the United States. And it also showed the cracks and the crisis of the political regime. This will not be closed by the electoral result, whatever it was. We cannot forget that the elections were preceded by a historic rebellion, and that the country continues to be plunged into an economic and health crisis that has no prospect of a quick resolution. Trump's vote also reflects that the right is an actor that is here to stay, and that he will surely try to gain street presence and run as the main opposition if a Biden victory is confirmed. If this scenario occurs, it will be essential to avoid any “honeymoon” with the new government, and continue the path marked out by this year's historic rebellion.