The fall of Kabul: Where is afghanistan going?
BySheraz Mail
The huida of Afghan President Ashraf Ghani, offering no resistance, and the capture of Kabul by the Taliban without firing a shot have closed twenty years of a cruel chapter in the history of Afghanistan and opened a new chapter full of uncertainty., confusion and possibilities. This new chapter begins with the withdrawal of the US imperialist forces and the entry of the Taliban into Kabul.. This withdrawal is a clear demonstration of the failure of the global capitalist political-economic order and its neoliberal policies.. While invading Afghanistan in 2001, US imperialism had set explicit and implicit strategic objectives. Apparently, they had planned to disperse al-Qaeda and bring bin Laden to justice. Ironically, the Americans shot and killed an unarmed and sick Bin Laden, later in 2011, to prevent him from revealing his close ties to the imperialists themselves. They armed and organized their Al-Qaeda against the Assad regime in Syria and provided it with air support., transforming it into a formidable organization). Other goals included the emancipation of Afghanistan and the establishment of democracy., gender equality and equal rights for women, crush the taliban and prevent them from returning to power. Today, Nevertheless, as the americans leave, the taliban are stronger than ever. Only a small fraction of women living in urban centers enjoy some freedoms. Now they, too, have been relegated to ordinary oppressed Afghan women.. when fleeing, Americans lose their dreams of containing Russia and Iran and besieging China. At the same time, backlash and Taliban fundamentalism have taken over the state. Religious fundamentalism and extremism are actually a political and social phenomenon that arises from the reactionary political response to the current system by backward social layers that are deprived of a future and isolated by the uneven development of society by capitalism.. It was the imperialists who organized and armed these groups to crush the mass movements, progressive parties and organizations in Muslim countries. in modern history, there is not a single fundamentalist organization that has not been fed and used by the imperialists for their spurious purposes. From promoting Wahhabism in cahoots with the Saud family to fomenting the Muslim Brotherhood against Nasser in Egypt, support General Suharto against Sukarno in Indonesia or set up Hamas against the Palestinian liberation movement or finance the reactionary mujahideen against the revolutionary government of Afghanistan. From Al-Qaeda to Boko Haram and from ISIS to the Al-Nusra Front, there are dozens of these reactionary organizations that were created by the imperialists to safeguard their interests throughout the world. Recent history has amply demonstrated that imperialism and fundamentalism are two sides of the same coin.. many liberals, blinded by the false US claims at the time, supported them to crush fundamentalism and restore human rights in the region. Now they're grumbling.
Maybe you are interestedLIS Statement on Afghanistan: Against the barbarism of the Taliban and imperialism, solidarity with the working people and women of Afghanistan
The fall of Kabul
The last 40 years of imperialist war in Afghanistan have dismantled the state, society and the political forces of the country. Warlords and drug lords have replaced the collective political leadership. In the midst of this war, a new generation has grown up that has dreamed of an end to war and a prosperous life.. In the absence of a political alternative, inadvertently, they turn to these warlords who have turned war into a profitable business. Except for some small political organizations in Afghanistan, all groups of powerful warlords are representatives of one or another imperialist country, including neighboring countries. No group has its own political vision or a socioeconomic program for the betterment of society.. They are puppets of their respective imperialist masters.. The recent fall of Kabul can be understood in the same context. Some analysts describe the Taliban takeover of Kabul as a US conspiracy, which is total nonsense. In fact, US imperialism had become so powerless in Afghanistan that it had lost its senses. in such a situation, made one mistake after another. The Taliban made the most of the recent Doha talks. Despite the agreement, the Taliban would act in the opposite way and the US would look on helplessly. Before the takeover of Kabul by the Taliban, it was agreed that, after the resignation of Ashraf Ghani, an interim government would be formed that would hold new elections in six months. Nevertheless, of capturing Kabul, the taliban have taken over everything. The surprisingly rapid Taliban advance towards Kabul owes much to the abrupt abandonment of military bases at Bagram, Kandahar and other places across the United States in the dead of night, which had a negative effect on morale, the solidarity and defense capacity of the Afghan army. Afghan soldiers and officers began to abandon their outposts even before the battle and in a situation where all their supplies had been depleted.. The low pay of Afghan soldiers, non-payment for months, embezzlement of military supplies, inadequate air support, the contradictory orders of the local command and the center and, Finally, the rapid shift in loyalties of tribal chiefs to the Taliban contributed to the complete demoralization of the Afghan army. The Taliban met strong resistance in Herat and Lashkargah and were unable to capture him for days.. If they had encountered similar resistance in other cities, they could have taken years to get to Kabul. Nevertheless, the warlord of Herat, Ismail Khan, following instructions from Iran, surrendered to the Taliban and handed over Herat, just as he had cooperated with the Americans in the overthrow of the Taliban in 2001, also on instructions from Iran. This further demoralized the army.. The Kabul administration summoned the commander of Lashkargah to Kabul to defend the city, while the Lashkargah front line collapsed and Helmand province fell to the Taliban. The governor of Ghazni handed over the province to the Taliban. A Kandahar, influential tribal chiefs and warlords paved the way for the Taliban takeover. The ancestral province of Ashraf Ghani, A log, was also captured in the same way. This is how the Taliban came to Kabul from the south, as they advanced north capturing important cities and reaching General Rasheed Dostum's Mazar Sharif, a puppet of Erdogan from Türkiye. He had boasted of having established a new state of Turkistan by dividing Afghanistan in the face of the Taliban offensive.. But his center of power, Mazar Sharif, He was captured by the Taliban in a heartbeat. Dostum and General Atta fled to Uzbekistan. Thus, the Taliban advanced from the north to Kabul without meeting resistance. Quick victories for the Taliban in the north would have been impossible had it not been for the help of Russia and Iran..
Ashraf Ghani, whose knowledge of statecraft is limited to his experience in the drudgery of the World Bank and NGOs, was utterly incapable of playing a decisive role in the complex and extraordinary circumstances of Afghanistan. The Americans contemptuously kept him out of the entire process of talks with the Taliban.. He couldn't even respond to such humiliation. These talks continued even until the fall of Kabul., but still, Ashraf Ghani and his government remained irrelevant. By understanding the whole situation, the cunning leader of the Northern Alliance, Abdullah Abdullah, the position of head of the Superior Council for National Reconciliation was secured. This position allowed him to play a pivotal role in the final stages of the talks and he remained close to the Taliban.. The role and position of Abdullah Abdullah in the impending Taliban government, in which other groups will also be incorporated, will further develop the rapid victory of the Taliban. Constitutionally, Ashraf Ghani was the supreme commander of the armed forces. During all this war, He did not visit a single front to raise the morale of the soldiers. One day he was seen with his advisors and commanders at the Bala Hissar fort in Kabul devising defense strategies and the next day he was seen fleeing the presidential palace with suitcases full of foreign currency., as reported by the Russian ambassador. He fled to the United Arab Emirates and left the country in confusion and uncertainty. Education and training by the capitalist institutions of the World Bank and NGOs can only produce cowards and accidental liberals like Ashraf Ghani. On the other hand, the cauldron of revolutionary struggle produces leaders like Noor Muhammad Tarakai, Hafizullah Amin and Dr. Najeeb, who sacrificed their lives in defense of the oppressed masses and became immortal. The Kabul government collapsed immediately after Ghani's escape. This vacuum has been quickly filled by the Taliban who entered Kabul without any resistance and with each passing moment they consolidate their power.
Whereas the vacuum created by Ashraf Ghani and his government was filled by the Taliban as the only alternative at this time, Russia, China and Iran want to fill the vacuum created by the defeat of the United States. These countries provided all possible support to the Taliban in their fight against the United States. At the same time, Pakistan is coordinating and harmonizing its relationship with these states using its great influence over the Taliban. In such conditions, The current pro-US Pakistani regime and the Pakistani deep state will inevitably come into conflict. For Pakistan, the year 2021 can become the opposite scenario to that of 2017. Despite being a landlocked country and with around 75 of its mountainous terrain, Afghanistan is an important bridge between the states of Central Asia and South Asia. Its natural and mineral resources have been the focus of several imperialist powers.. According to a report by the American Defense Committee published in the New York Times, Afghanistan has colossal copper reserves, carbon, chromita, floruro, hierro, uranium and various other precious metals. The report further estimates that huge lithium reserves could transform Afghanistan into the Saudi Arabia of lithium.. Lithium is an important element used in rechargeable batteries for mobile phones, laptops, digital cameras and electric vehicles. China has been considering mining these minerals for decades.. China has already signed several oil and copper extraction projects, including the Mes Aynak copper project. Nevertheless, due to confusion and uncertainty, These projects could not move forward. China also plans to link Afghanistan to its Belt and Road Initiative with the CPEC in the south and the Silk Road in the north.. China has established close ties with the Taliban. Both parties have held several meetings in China. The Taliban has assured China that it will not allow Afghanistan's territory to be used against China. And China has assured its support for the Taliban. It seems that China, Russia and Iran are using the Shanghai Cooperation Council platform to try to replace the US Unipolar order.
He 17 of August, The Taliban held their first press conference and announced their immediate measures and policies in which they pledged not to retaliate, enable girls' education, that women continue working, although with the Islamic hijab, and that banks and financial institutions continue working. Nevertheless, contrary to these advertisements, Reports of people being kidnapped and murdered are emerging in remote areas, and of girls and widows being forcibly married to Taliban fighters. Kabul residents are in panic. They are leaving the country as the Taliban consolidate their power. After Ghani's escape, Vice President Amrullah Saleh declared himself president. He has organized anti-Taliban commanders in the Panjshir Valley and started resistance against the Taliban. During the Dollar Jihad, Amrullah Saleh received military training in Pakistan and was a commander in Ahmad Shah Masood's jihadist organization.. He was later appointed head of the Afghan intelligence service NDS and then vice president of Ashraf Ghani.. If the Taliban further consolidates ties with China, Russia and Iran, then the United States and India will support this new northern alliance; ISIS Khorasan, TTP and other organizations will be your allies. This will pave the way for another war in Afghanistan and Pakistan.
Whether or not the Taliban have learned anything from their previous tenure in power, They have certainly learned to consolidate their power. They have the Iranian mullah aristocracy in their neighborhood, where a dictatorial religious government is in charge and the Taliban have had cordial relations with them for some time. The immediate probability of the nature of the Afghan government, whether “elected” or transitional, is that an all-powerful supreme body or council dominates it. All government functions, military affairs, domestic and foreign policy will be decided by this “organism”. Financial matters will also be under your control. It means that Afghanistan's tough body politic will be wrapped in the straitjacket of the Iranian political system., which will make that vest break because not even Afghanistan has a relatively strong economy like Iran's, nor a dominant nationality similar to that of the Iranian Persians. It is economical, socially and culturally several times more backward than Iran and is a turbulent country. A strong economy is a precondition for state oppression; Nevertheless, there is no such precondition in Afghanistan. The entire policy of the Taliban emphasizes only the punishments and retributions of the judicial system. They have no socioeconomic program for the betterment of society other than banning music., destroy musical instruments and prohibit cultural activities. For the oppressed Afghan masses, His economic program is no different from the policies of Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan, that is to say, charity, philanthropy and alms.
For the moment, the danger of a bloodbath has been avoided. There are several hidden possibilities in the current situation in Afghanistan. It is the duty of revolutionaries to seek progressive content in a given phenomenon., preserve and nourish them. Over the years, a series of reactionary events have occurred in Afghanistan. Nevertheless, the potential for new reactionary events is fading. The defeat of US imperialism in the region is actually the failure of neoliberal capitalism, which has far-reaching repercussions that will help the development of revolutionary conditions and the spread of revolutionary ideas. The new generation of Afghans is learning many things from their experiences. New ideas and perspectives are emerging. Afghan women in Kabul have set an example of boldness and bravery by protesting against the Taliban in front of their armed thugs. It's not just a few women, but the voice of the majority of the Afghan masses. These voices will be transformed into thunder that evokes the resistance of the masses and revolutionary slogans that will silence all reactionary voices once and for all..
