It may be the beginning of the "total collapse of the Russian Federation"
ByKazimierz Kryzhich
He 23 of June, the confrontation between the Minister of Defense, Sergei Shoigu, and the owner of Wagner PMC, Yevgeny Prigozhin, which began almost from the beginning of Russia's military aggression against Ukraine, entered the phase of armed confrontation. Many consider the initial cause of the conflict to be the radical dispute of business interests between Sergei Shoigu's family clan and Yevgeny Prigozhin's corporation.. None of the sides in dispute are progressive in nature.
Repeated attempts by the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation to seize control of Wagner during military operations in Ukraine were unsuccessful.. Wagner had no clear legal status, since the very existence of this military organization did not comply with the norms of Russian legislation..
After Shoigu's order that all private military companies must enter into contracts with the Ministry of Defense, Prigozhin categorically refused to obey and made a series of populist statements about the total corruption of the highest command of the Russian army and the senseless death of one hundred thousand people involved in military tasks.. Constantly positioning himself as a true patriot of Russia, a defender of the common soldier and the Russian people, Prigozhin quickly gained popularity in Russian society and began to pose a real threat to the current government..
He 23 of June, missile attack was carried out on camps of the Wagner PMC, for which Prigozhin blamed the Ministry of Defense. In the night of the same day, Prigozhin announced the start of a military campaign against Moscow, calling it a “March of Justice”.
In the morning of 24 of June, Wagner militants captured the headquarters of the southern military district of the RF Ministry of Defense in Rostov and blocked all military facilities in the city. Part of Prigozhin's units left the Rostov region along the M-4 Don federal highway towards Moscow. It is worth noting the broad and positive public outcry provoked by this “March of Justice.”. Along the entire route of advance, The Wagnerians found support from the population who perceived Yevgeny Prigozhin as the savior of the Russian people from Putin's yoke.. During the day, Wagner's detachments passed through the Voronezh regions, Lipetsk and Tula and stopped two hundred kilometers from Moscow. during movement, The rebels destroyed six Russian helicopters that attacked the Wagnerians and a transport plane. In Moscow and adjacent regions, a regime of anti-terrorist operations was announced, Access roads were blocked and all military units were put on alert..
On the night of 24 of June, through the mediation of Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, Yevgeny Prigozhin agreed with the Russian federal government to end the uprising. Thus, Wagner's failed rebellion ended with the return of combat units to their previous locations, y Prigozhin, went to Belarus, where Lukashenko acted as guarantor of his personal security.
The criminal case on the fact of rebellion is closed, participants in the rebellion, according to Putin's press secretary, will not be prosecuted.
It is difficult to imagine that Prigozhin, being one of Vladimir Putin's most successful projects, would have attacked Moscow to overthrow him. The conflict between Wagner and the Russian Ministry of Defense, in which Putin finally sided with Sergei Shoigu, left Prigozhin with no choice but to play for higher rates. And this tactic worked.. At least, Prigozhin has so far preserved his freedom and his life, as well as the possibility of further enrichment in the field of mercenarism. It is possible that Prigozhin will be killed a little later in Belarus, or that Lukashenko uses his services, using the experience of the Wagner PMC owner, even in several commercial projects in other states. The remaining Wagner militants are doomed to further participation in the meat grinder called “special military operation”. New unrest in the ranks of the Russian army is not ruled out, including those involving militants of private military campaigns.
Wagner's failed rebellion demonstrated not only Putin's political weakness, but also the oligarchic-corporate essence of the Kremlin's power, with its inevitable wars between several clans for the "food base".
During the war against Ukraine, Dozens of private military companies have been created in Russia to protect the interests of various corporations integrated into power. The failures of the Russian military on the Ukrainian front will certainly hit the Putin regime and provoke armed conflicts between oligarchic groups in the fight for increasingly scarce spheres of influence and resources on Russia's own territory..
Thus, the Kremlin's imperial ambitions, that led to military aggression in Ukraine, They can have a completely opposite result.: the complete collapse of the Russian Federation.
