First balance of the Catalan elections
The action of the regime led to a low participation. The PSC obtained a triumph with a bitter taste. ERC tied in seats with PSC and was first in the independence movement, who obtained a majority in the Parliament. JxCat was third. Ciudadanos and the PP sank. Vox broke in with eleven deputies. In Comú Podem is still stagnant and the CUP grew. Training is ahead of the Government and the investiture of a new President. You do not have to deposit any trust in constitutionalists or in those who defend the interests of the catalan bourgeoisie.
The date of 14 February for making the elections was imposed by the Superior Court of Justice of Catalonia (TSJC), despite having been suspended for the 30 of May. They did not mind forcing the exposure of the people infected with Covid-19 in the middle of the third wave of the pandemic. The reckless action of the magistrates was functional to the candidacy of Salvador Illia and the cause of the worst citizen participation in democracy, that fell from 79,09% in 2017 al 53,5%. further, influenced the fight with the central and autonomous governments and the disinterest of a part of the population.
The results, interesting from compare with the choice of 2017, they lit up changes. The mass media and Moncloa propagandized the "Illa effect" to present your candidate as insurance "Great winner". A part of the objective is fulfilled, since the PSC came out first, with the 23,02% of the votes and 33 seats -16 more than in the previous legislature-, he gathered himself inside and won in large urban centers such as Barcelona and L´Hospitalet. Nevertheless, is a triumph that left a bitter taste on the palate because it took them away from the target to get support for "Turn page" of self-determination. The regime from '78, fails to crush Catalan claims with repression, persecution, jail or political maneuvers.
ERC reached the 21,31% with 33 seats. This allowed his candidate Pere Aragonés to run saying “ERC is in a position to have the presidency ". The Left handed of Oriol Junqueras won the pulsed to JxCat by Carles Puigdemont, placing it at the head of independence. Thus the more autonomist current has been strengthened and dialogue with the oppressors, the one that has yielded the most to Pedro Sánchez. JxCat, who introduced Laura Borrás, had a decrease in votes and was placed in the third position with him 20,06% Y 32 seats, which puts them before the possibility certain of losing the presidency of the Generalitat at the hand of his competitors and the initiative within the independence movement. Arthur Mas's PDEcat, inheritor straight from the corrupt Convergence, took out the 2,72% and no seats.
Citizens collapsed in four years: at 2017 won the elections with 36 seats and now ranked sixth, with six deputies, going from 25,35% al 5,57%. Thus deepened a debacle that first politically buried its leader Albert Rivera and has now done the same with Inés Arrimadas and Carlos Carrizoza. The PP got its worst result in the Catalan electoral history with 3,85% and three seats, worse than in the elections of 2017 imposed by the application of 155 scored by Mariano Rajoy. The coup also affects the aspirations of Pablo Casado to get to Moncloa. The combined seats of "Trio de Colón", express a setback from the right, of forty deputies in 2017 (Cs+PP) To twenty in 2021 (Cs + PP + Vox), although with a very important change: the Vox far right.
Vox took out the 7,69% and burst forth as a fourth force in the Parliament with eleven deputies, seven of them in Barcelona, feeding on votes lost by Ciudadanos and the PP. They express the existence of a social sector minority but considerable that is nationalist, anti-democratic rights and social, enemy of workers' struggles, women and immigrants, staunch defender of the unity of Spain and brutal denier of the Catalan self-determination, with an ideology of the extreme right, very attractive for the cultists of fascism. Fight and defeat them on the streets where show their heads and in the institutions of the entire Spanish State it is a task imperious.
We share He went from 7,46% al 6,86%, keeping eight seats. They are still crossed by their nefarious policy of "Equidistance" of the oppressors and the oppressed, and its adaptation to the institutional regime. The big bet of the candidate Jessica Albiach is to specify a “government of left ”with the PSC and ERC. Podemos is determined to integrate bourgeois governments disguised as progressives.
The CUP made a very good choice, getting 6,69%, went from four to nine deputies. It partially capitalized on the discontent of a sector of the population mobilized both with the "Magic independentismo" as with him "Dialogue independence". The data show a growth of the most radical positions for self-determination and amnesty, although they are still very far from the inconsequential variants that continue to be the majority. On different occasions the candidate Dolors Sabater and others affirmed "We are ready to assume responsibilities", while considering the possibility of integrating a Catalan bourgeois government. This caused rejections that led the CUP leadership to correct this postulate. We, what we vote critically for the CUP expressing alerts, We reaffirm that the CUP should not be part of a Catalan bourgeois government.
The electoral balance is not complete as it has not yet been said the last word: the formation of a new Govern, for which the independence movement has a majority. ERC leader, Oriol Junqueras has expressed: “We want to join the independentists and we want a Government and a parliamentary majority that is as wide as possible. We also said that we would not rule with the PSC and we won't”. The commons are opposed to getting involved with JxCat and these propose a government composed only of independentistas. A tripartite PSC, ERC and En Comú Podem, as the socialists pose is mathematically possible (68 deputies the limit of the absolute majority), but does not appear as politically highly probable, by crossed vetoes. Despite this, Salvador Illa will run for the investiture.
It will be seen what finally happens. What is coming is a within 20 working days from the holding of the elections for the constitute the Parliament, that is, the limit is the 12 of March. The Investiture debate could be held at the end of March. If not choose a President a period of 2 months to try to get it and if it also fails, the 54 days until electoral repetition in the second half of July. In the meantime, we must support the struggles of workers against the consequences of the capitalist crisis, demand freedom by Pablo Hasél and supporting the feminist movement in the preparation of a great day strike and fight for 8M.
At the same time, it is necessary to set up a strong pole of the revolutionary socialist left to fight for a consistent course of class independence, anticapitalist, for self-determination and amnesty, separating itself sharply from those who act as a transmission belt for the Catalan bourgeoisie, to deepen the path of consequence for the defeat of the '78 regime, for the Catalan Republic and socialism.